Budget 2026: What London can expect from the Chancellor's tax and spending announcements


Tax rises will almost certainly hit the capital hardest given that it is the wealthiest region of Britain.
So, the Chancellor was gambling that he will not undermine economic growth, as his predecessor Rachel Reeves was widely accused of doing, by imposing new levies.
Devolution of power
However, with his hands partly tied due to Britain’s debt mountain having risen to an eyewatering £3 trillion, Mr Healey was seeking economic growth through a major shift of powers to stop the UK being such a centralised nation.
He was promising a “radical devolution of power” to local leaders including in the capital.
The Chancellor was being urged by bosses to allow London Mayor Lord Sadiq Khan to retain a sizeable share of business rates and some other taxes to ramp up London’s economic engine.
Mr Healey may approve a Business Rate Retention Zone to fund a £20 million scheme for international trains to stop at Stratford in the east of the capital.
The Chancellor was expected to hit banks with a new Treasury raid.
Finance chiefs in the Square Mile were prepared for a possible extra tax hit of £2 billion-a-year on banks, after the big four - HSBC, NatWest, Barclays and Lloyds Banking Group - collectively made around £15 billion profit in the first half of this year.
Unions have been calling for the move to raise money to ease the cost of living for millions of struggling households.
Ahead of going to the Commons to deliver his speech, Mr Healey said: “This Budget is designed to give households breathing space from some of the everyday costs, provide targeted support for businesses and self-employed people, and to start the long-term action needed to get energy costs down for good.”
Capital gains tax
Economists have warned Mr Healey of the risk of undermining growth with new tax rises and he has decided not to increase capital gains tax, defying calls from some of Mr Burnham’s close allies to do so.
Given the dire state of the public finances, the Chancellor has little room for any major cash giveaways in his Budget.
He has announced a series of small-scale measures, including slashing tariffs on a range of popular foods including chocolate and gherkins, to slightly lower bills for households.
Cost of living
But they will have a limited impact compared to inflation, at 3.5% and fuelled by Donald Trump’s Iran war, which is eating into the living standards of many people across Britain.
The Prime Minister has axed VAT from electricity bills and told Energy Secretary Miatta Fahnbulleh to examine scrapping standing charges from gas bills.
But these measures will by no means fully offset rising energy bills, which are predicted to hit nearly £2,200-a-year for many households later this winter.
Young workers
The Chancellor was set to announce a rise of around 4% in the National Living Wage for workers aged 21 and over, and in the National Minimum Wage for those aged 18 to 20.
The Minimum Wage was ramped up by 26% between 2025 and 2026 but the jump was blamed for bosses in pubs, hotels, the wider hospitality and other sectors hiring fewer staff as workforce bills rose.
One in five Londoners aged 16 to 24 are unemployed, with the capital having the highest jobless level in the country, at 6.6% overall.
Homes and tax
The Chancellor was reportedly due to make the Government's revived Help to Buy scheme more generous than initially planned, including in London.
He was expected to set a cap for household eligible for the Your First Home scheme, which offers first-time buyers a 20% equity loan, at £110,000 outside the capital and £140,000 in the city.
Mr Healey may have been eyeing grabbing more revenue from property tax but was reported to have ruled out lowering the “mansion tax” threshold from £2 million to £1.5 million.
More than £1 billion may be allocated for social and affordable homes.
Pensioners and triple lock
A million pensioners in London will be impacted by the proposed change to the “triple lock” from 2030 which will see the State pension rise by inflation, 2.5% but no longer the increase in average earnings, which ever is the higher.
The tax-free allowance for low-income pensioners may rise next year to just over £13,000 to meet the pledge that the elderly who rely only on the State pension do not pay income tax.
Business rates cut
Mr Healey was expected to announce an increase in the threshold at which small companies start paying business rates from £12,000 to £18,000.
The move would mean thousands of high-street shops, cafes, pubs and other small businesses would no longer have to pay business rates, or have lower bills.
Nation’s finances
The Chancellor had an economic cushion, or “fiscal headroom”, of around £24 billion in March, according to the Office for Budget Responsibility and this was expected to fall as he tries to balance the books.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies has warned he will have to find £35 billion in benefit cuts, tax rises, or a combination of the two, to avoid having to make major cuts to budgets for public services in coming years, if he is to boost defence spending to 3% of GDP by 2030.

