The good news for Labour is that, according to two different mega-polls, they are predicted to be the largest party if an election were held today.

The latest poll by More in Common found that Labour would get 250 seats, with Reform coming in second with 147, followed by the Conservatives on 125 and the Liberal Democrats on 63.

That’s a far better position for Andy Burnham’s party than their last MRP poll in July, when Reform was set to be the largest party on 293 seats, with Reform trailing behind on 110.

Another poll by YouGov earlier this week painted a similar improved picture – 241 seats for Labour, 130 for the Conservatives, 123 for Refrom and 71 for the Lib Dems.

These polls mega-polls, which both surveyed around 16,000 adults each, give a much clearer picture of where the parties stand, and which seats they could win.

But they also deliver some pretty bad news – in both scenarios, Labour still would be way short of the 326 seats needed to win a majority in the Commons.

Without a majority, it would be much harder for Labour to pass legislation unless they can get support from other parties, significantly weakening their position.

And, even if they were to reach an agreement with the Liberal Democrats, they would still be around 13 or 14 seats short of that crucial threshold.

That is an incredibly precarious position for a government to be in, and would leave them relying on support from a third left-leaning party like Plaid Cymru, the SNP or the Greens.

These polls are only a snapshot, but they reveal how much could be at stake at the next general election.

This is expected to take place in 2029, but could be called anytime before then, and The i Paper has revealed that Burnham’s team are discussing whether one could take place sooner.

The lesson that political parties will likely be taking from these findings is that there is no time for complacency.

With the idea of a safe seat all but abolished, the next election looks to be one of the toughest fights in decades.