Greens could fail to win any seats in London at next election, new poll shows

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The Green Party could fail to win a single seat in London, a new poll has suggested, putting Labour on course to storm to a resounding victory in the capital.

The MRP poll conducted by Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now indicated that Labour could win a record 59 or 60 seats out of 75 in the capital following a surge in support after Andy Burnham took over as prime minister.

It put Labour on 34 per cent in London, up nine percentage points since July, and the Greens down three to 18 per cent.

The Tories, meanwhile, were down two point to 16 per cent, Reform was left unchanged on 13 per cent and the Lib Dems were down two to 9 per cent. Restore was up by one point to 7 per cent, and independents/minor parties were down two points to 3 per cent.

Green Party leader Zack Polanski. (Jordan Pettitt/PA)

Analysis of the polling, seen by the , showed that the Conservatives could lose two seats, and fail to regain a number of others in inner London, while the the Liberal Democrats would hold six constituencies in south west London.

It indicated that Reform UK would gain one seat - Bexleyheath and Crayford - which is currently held by Labour.

And in a blow to Zack Polanski, the survey suggested that the Greens could end up with no seats in the capital, despite one previous poll conducted by Electoral Calculus predicting they could win as many as 21 seats in London. The capital is a key target area for the Greens, with the party hoping to perform well there after securing dozens of council seats at the local elections in May.

Martin Baxter, chief executive of Electoral Calculus, told The Standard: “In political terms, Andy Burnham has eaten Zack Polankski's muesli, as underlined by the recent Labour win in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.”

Despite facing claims of being anti-London, Mr Baxter said the prime minister is managing to unify left-of-centre votes in the capital.

“He is taking votes from the Liberal Democrats and Greens to re-establish Labour as the dominant political force in London,” he said. “This contrasts with the dire position of the party earlier in the year under Sir Keir Starmer.”

The decline in popularity of the Green Party in London comes after a difficult few months for Mr Polanski, culminating in his party losing the Holborn and St Pancras by-election last month - a seat the party had hoped to take from Labour.

The party leader faced calls to stand down earlier this month after losing the contest, and also faced criticism for missing a debate about a party conference motion that declared Zionism to be a form of racism - a motion which brought condemnation from other political parties and Jewish groups. Mr Polanski was barred from entering Israel as a result.

Former party leader Caroline Lucas accused him of a failure in leadership while another long-term senior figure told that the situation is “untenable”.

Nationally, the poll put Labour on 353 seats, a Commons majority of 56. The Conservatives were on 90, Reform were on 81, the Lib Dems were at 70, the SNP were on 28, the Greens were on four and Restore were on one.

The survey spoke to 6,699 people from 25 September to 2 October.

Original source Greens could fail to win any seats in London at next election, new poll shows

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