Labour is maintaining its ‘Burnham Bounce’ more than two months after the new Prime Minister entered No 10, with the latest polling for The i Paper showing the party has slightly extended its poll lead over Reform UK from four to five points.
Nigel Farage’s party remained in second place in the latest BMG Polling for The i Paper, locked on 23 per cent, and behind Labour, for the third month running. Worryingly for Farage, the rival Restore Britain Party registered by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe in February is polling 7 per cent – an increase of 2 points and clearly eating into Reform’s voter share.
Kemi Badenoch can also take heart from the polling, with the Tories up to 20 per cent from 18 per cent last month.
How dogs decode what owners say like humans

Scientists have found that dog brains process speech in a similar way to human babies – poking holes in their excuses for ignoring their owners.
A new study, published in , found that the canine brain appears to process speech with a focus on consonants, which was once thought to be unique to humans.
Inside the brains of 20 dogs
- The researchers recorded the brain activity of 20 pet dogs and 20 human adults as they listened to nonsensical words.
- Some of the recordings had repeating consonant patterns while others had vowel patterns.
- Using EEG, which measures electrical activity in the brain, researchers noted that for both humans and dogs, the brain response was far stronger when the repeating structure involved consonants.
Surprising results
Dog brains segment speech into words in a way previously seen only in humans.
The researchers added that the results were surprising, as the acoustic prominance of vowels could have attracted the dogs more if they were simply latching on to the loudest or most obvious sounds.

Instead, their brains favoured the less acoustically noticeable consonant patterns, which provided more information about which words were being spoken.
Rare ‘gifted word learner’ dogs
The study also suggests that dogs can tell one human language from another. The researchers found several rare “gifted word learner” dogs, which can learn toy names after hearing them only four times.
Earlier this year, the same researchers discovered that some dogs can learn new object names just by overhearing their owner, an ability they said was comparable with word learning in 18-month-old children.

What to know as Iran offers new ceasefire proposal
If certain conditions are met… the Strait will be open in seven days
Iran has tabled a new seven-day proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and restart peace talks with the US.
Here’s everything you need to know…
Iran submits peace plan to US
While visiting New York for the UN General Assembly on Thursday, Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi said his country’s mediators had submitted a plan that could see the critical waterway open within a week.


“We have introduced a plan to the United States through the mediators that if certain conditions are met… the Strait will be open in seven days,” and Iran and the US would restart negotiations for a final deal, Araghchi told reporters.
Inside collapsed agreement

60-day ceasfire
That agreement extended an April ceasefire for 60 days, during which Iran would allow uncharged passage via the Strait.
Oil exports
It would also see the US issue waivers for Iranian oil exports.


The US said it will not return to the MoU, and is instead pushing for a deal that covers Iran’s nuclear programme.
Trump accuses Iran of stalling for midterms
In his speech to the UN, Donald Trump accused Iran of stalling on a deal until after the midterms, in the hope that his Republican Party would lose power.
In response, Araghchi said it would be “much better” if both countries agreed to an MoU before the midterms, but that the US dictates the timeline.


Productive talks continue
- Araghchi added that the moment the US accepts its plan, a “timetable can start, and after seven days, the Strait will be open.”
- Recent talks held on the sidelines of the UN were reportedly productive for both sides.
- A White House official said the US and Iran “are having positive and constructive discussions through the mediators”.
Noah Woods drowned after slipping through ‘gap in playground fence’

Noah Woods, the three-year-old boy who was the subject of a huge search in Suffolk, drowned after escaping “through a gap in the fence” at a playground, an inquest has heard.
Major search for toddler
The toddler, who had a speech delay and was partially deaf, became separated from a relative at a playground in Brantham village on 15 September.
A major search was carried out, with at least 1,300 people helping to try find him in the 24 hours after he went missing, along with helicopters, dog units and police divers.


Noah ran out of sight
Police told Suffolk Coroner’s Court that Noah had left the playground, walked into a memorial garden and left that through an open gate.
- He then ran down a path on a new housing estate towards the nearby Decoy Pond.
- Det Ch Insp Matt Connick from Suffolk Police told the court that CCTV showed Noah playing in the area with a relative close by.
- After he had left the play area, he was closely followed by the relative trying to catch up with him, he added.
- The inquest heard the relative had shouted out to Noah, but he went out of sight shortly afterwards.
Police divers recover boy’s body
Police divers from the Metropolitan Police searched Decoy Pond the next day. They found the boy’s body five metres from the edge of the pond within submerged tree roots at a depth of 1.8 metres.
Noah’s death was confirmed at 4.31pm by paramedics and his identity was formally confirmed by his mother, at Ipswich Hospital that evening, the inquest heard.

‘The centre of our world’
He was part of a loving and caring family, living with his mummy, daddy and his little baby brother. He was at the centre of our world… Despite the challenges he faced, he was learning every day. He was saying new words all the time and had only just started finding and using his little voice.
dr pauline swift, the charity chair of blood pressure uk


Pope Leo arrives in France for first papal visit in 18 years
Pope Leo has arrived in France for a whirlwind four-day papal visit – the first in 18 years.
Leo, who became pope in May last year, said he wished to be a pilgrim of peace for a world at war, as he prepares to meet victims of the Catholic Church abuse scandal.
Pope meets with Macron
Earlier this year, the first US pope criticised leaders who spend billions on wars, just days after a high-profile spat with US President Donald Trump over the Iran conflict.


Superstar fanfare

- Over a million people are expected to turn out to see him, with the highpoint being a Mass attended by half a million people in central Paris.
- Leo has built a strong following among Gen Z through addressing modern anxieties.
Visit hoped to repair Church image
Local Church leaders hope the trip will repair the Church’s standing after a 2021 report found that 330,000 French children had been abused by Catholic clergy and lay leaders over the past 70 years.
French bishops have since introduced compensation and safeguarding measures.
The pope will meet seven French victims of abuse by Catholic clergy on Sunday in Lourdes.
AI presents ‘new dangers to international peace’, says pope
Leo, who has made AI concerns a cornerstone of his papacy, is expected to address the issue at UNESCO.
In a speech at the Vatican on Thursday, the pope said AI could benefit humanity, but has introduced “new dangers to security and international peace” and urged global leaders to “govern wisely”.

In pictures: Leo’s visit to Paris




British rapper Yung Filly to face rape retrial
British rapper Yung Filly will face a rape retrial in Australia next June after a jury failed to reach a verdict in an earlier trial.
Filly, whose real name is Andres Felipe Valencia Barrientos, was charged with the alleged rape and assault of a fan after performing at a nightclub in Perth in 2024.
No decision for rape charges
In July, a jury acquitted the 31-year-old of three counts of rape, one of assault and one of strangulation but found him guilty of two assault charges.
No decision was reached for three rape charges, which Barrientos has denied.
He is understood to have returned to the UK after the court granted him permission to leave Australia as part of his bail conditions.
Sentencing to take place after retrial
Perth’s district court has set 15 June as the start date for the retrial, which is expected to last eight days.
Sentencing for the two assault charges that the jury found Barrientos guilty of will take place after the retrial.


Barrientos is known for his work with the YouTube collective Beta Squad and has previously appeared in the celebrity version of on Channel 4.
What the court heard in first trial
Barrientos had been on tour in Australia when he was accused of sexually assaulting the woman in his hotel room after he performed in Hillarys, a coastal suburb of Perth.
- The court heard that the social media star had consensual sex with the fan in his hotel room, before she alleged he turned violent and refused to stop.
- During the trial, Barrientos told the court that he had “fancied” the woman when they met at the concert venue.
- He had been in the VIP area while she leaned over the barrier from the general area.
- He said the “vibes were good” between him and the woman when they arrived at his hotel later.
Prosecution calls Filly ‘entitled’
During the first trial’s closing arguments, prosecutor Danielle Clarke said Barrientos was an “entitled” man with a “moderate degree of fame” who had violated the fan “in the most intrusive way possible”.
His defence lawyer argued that the accuser’s evidence was full of “inconsistencies, embellishments and outright lies”.

The UK’s pharmacy blackspots

Nearly 300,000 people have seen their local pharmacy shut this year, with dozens closing in shortage areas leaving patients with 17-mile round trips to pick up vital medicines.
Two sites closed per week
Analysis of NHS figures by the National Pharmacy Association (NPA) revealed that 51 high-street pharmacies in England shut between January and August this year – the equivalent of two a week.
Of the total, 31 received government funding under a scheme to maintain vital access to medicines for patients in “healthcare shortage” areas.


The South West of England has been hit hardest by closures.
- Nine pharmacies closed across Devon, Cornwall and Somerset.
- Three pharmacies alone closed in the Somerset town of Taunton.
- Closures are forcing patients to travel significant distances to access emergency prescriptions as well as contraception and clinical advice, particularly on a weekend, patient groups and pharmacies have warned.
- The recent closure of a Lloyds Pharmacy in Long Rock, Penzance, left patients with an up to 1 hour and 20-minute journey by public transport to access their nearest pharmacy – a 17-mile round trip.
Why are pharmacies closing?
Pharmacies have seen real-terms cuts of 40 per cent to their funding since 2016. Since then, 1,500 pharmacies have closed – meaning 9.9 million patients in England have seen their local chemist close, analysis shows.
Despite a £340m Government boost to pharmacy funding in May, NHS analysis for the Community Pharmacy England (CPE) body shows community pharmacies still face a funding gap of more than £2bn.
Just one in seven pharmacies are profitable, a separate survey by CPE of more than 2,900 pharmacies in July revealed.

Patchy medicine access
When a pharmacy closes, it can create pockets where patients will find it harder to access medicines, collect prescriptions and get advice from their local pharmacy. Closures often happen in areas where healthcare support is needed most so it intensifies health inequalities.
Dr James Davies, director of research and insights at Community Pharmacy England

Pressure on other NHS services
NPA leaders urged the Government to reform NHS’s contract with pharmacies. Around 90 per cent of a pharmacy’s work is funded through the NHS, they added.
William Pett, of Healthwatch, said longer distances were “difficult for those with limited mobility or no access to transport” and that is “is no surprise that some people end up turning to other parts of the NHS when they cannot get the help they need in their community”.
The groundbreaking new DNA brain tumour test

A groundbreaking new DNA test will be offered to patients with brain tumours as part of a new pilot study, which NHS officials say will reduce average diagnosis rates from weeks to days.
Experts say the rapid genomic test can confirm a diagnosis within two hours – meaning medics can know the precise type of tumour even during surgery.
Huge boost to personalised care

The NHS said the test will be piloted in specialist centres around England.
Personalised care
It could help patients get personalised care sooner and help enrol them on clinical trials which they may have missed out on.


Officials said brain tumours are “notoriously difficult” to diagnose.
How does it work?
The cutting-edge technology works by quickly analysing the DNA or genetic code of a small tumour sample taken during biopsy or surgery, helping doctors identify what type of brain tumour the patient has.
There are more than 100 different types of tumours, which range from slow-growing to aggressive cancers.
This remarkable rapid test has the potential to completely transform how we diagnose .
Professor Frankie Swords, NHS England’s medical director, added that the test is a “huge leap forward” for patients.

This is a huge leap forward for patients – a faster diagnosis means they can start the right treatment or access clinical trials sooner, while for some patients it could mean surgeons can make potentially life-changing decisions about their surgery while on the operating table.
Professor Frankie Swords, NHS England medical director

Health Secretary hails ‘incredible breakthrough’
Health Secretary Yvette Cooper called the technology an “incredible breakthrough”.
Dr Simon Newman of The Brain Tumour Charity added that it will help patients avoid the “‘cruel, traumatic’” experience of waiting weeks to find out which type of brain tumour they have and their prognosis.

Why experts fear loss of rare flower shows the UK’s climate future
A rare flower may have gone extinct in southern England due to extreme heat and drought, in what experts fear is a “canary in the mine” for how climate change is affecting biodiversity.

Field gentian all but wiped out
Until recently, the field gentian was abundant in the New Forest, Hampshire.
It was previously thought these populations could survive hot summers, due to their sheer size – often more than 5,000 plants at each site – and their ability for seeds to move with livestock into more sheltered areas.


But successive heatwaves and drought – in the third extreme summer in five years – may have led to their loss from southern England.
Rare flower missing for two years
The Species Recovery Trust has been unable to locate a single field gentian plant in the New Forest for the second year in a row.
Dominic Price, director of the charity, said the purple flower grew in dry or “skeletal” grasslands, which are on the “absolute front line” of climate change as they become parched and dead in hot, dry weather.

This loss of what was such an abundant plant is deeply worrying, and in many ways, it feels like a canary in the mine for how climate change is likely to accelerate species loss.
Dominic Price, director of the Species Recovery Trust

Is it gone for ever?
- Price said “there’s potential for a miracle” with a wet summer next year helping the plant stage a comeback.
- In the summer of 2022, when UK temperatures soared to 40°C for the first time, field gentian populations crashed in the south of England, and went extinct in Devon.
- But populations recovered slightly the following year.
With the right-wing vote split, Andy Burnham appeared to be consolidating support on the centre-left as the Liberal Democrats and Greens lost ground, suggesting he is currently best placed for the next election.
Concerns for Nigel Farage
Lib Dem leader Sir Ed Davey will be particularly alarmed. The Lib Dem’s vote share of 8 per cent is the lowest since at least May 2024, when the General Election was called.
Farage will be hoping it shows Reform’s fall from a high of 35 per cent last August has at least stopped after a difficult summer that saw him embroiled in controversy over party donations.
But he will still be concerned after a separate survey this week suggested the party would win fewer seats than Labour and the Tories in a general election, with Burnham in pole position to form a government in a hung parliament.
There are signs that Lowe’s far-right party is winning over former backers of Farage, with Restore stealing 15 per cent of those who voted Reform in the 2024 general election, up five points on last month – as areas of the country were hit in recent weeks by extreme anti-migration protests.
“Restore looks to be blocking Reform’s path to power by eating into its base,” Robert Struthers, Head of Public Perceptions at BMG, said
It will lend weight to some political observers’ analysis that Burnham is more likely to win the next election as he can hoover up support on the left, while Farage continues to suffer from a fragmentation of support on the right.
Fears over a snap election
The results will also do nothing to dampen down speculation that Burnham may call a snap election in order to have his own mandate. This is unlikely while the polling still points to a hung parliament – but if the right remain divided while the left consolidate, some in Westminster believe he may be tempted.
More voters also want Labour to remain in Government until the next scheduled election in 2029 (41 per cent) than those that want an early poll (38 per cent).
Although this was split on party lines with the majority of Tory and Reform voters wanting an early election and the reverse true of Labour and Green supporters.
Struthers added: “Six months after registering as a party, Restore is already polling at 7 per cent.
“With the Liberal Democrats and Greens slipping back, that puts Rupert Lowe’s party within touching distance of some far more established players.
“Restore is peeling away what Reform once thought was its core vote. It now takes 15 per cent of those who backed Reform in 2024, up from 10 per cent last month.
“There are important caveats. We don’t know if Restore can field candidates in every seat or build the organisation to fight a general election, and smaller parties often get squeezed when a race narrows.
“Three in five current Reform voters say they’d consider Restore, so there’s clear room for Lowe’s party to grow.
“Yet a similar share of current Restore backers would consider Reform, showing the scope for them to be squeezed in a future contest.”
Lowe is a ‘kamikaze pilot’
Restore’s relatively high polling is causing consternation in Reform – with insiders saying the prospect of a snap election is causing “some concern”.
In a sign of how far the party has come despite sliding in the polls, coming second in an election – and thus the official Opposition – would be considered acceptable, but coming third “would be seen as ‘job not having been done’.
“There’s a fear that a snap election is so unpredictable it could end up with Reform in third or even fourth,” a party source said.
With Restore taking votes from Reform, but currently unlikely to win more than Lowe’s current seat of Great Yarmouth, the source compared the former Southampton FC chairman with “a kamikaze pilot”.
“What are they doing? Apart obviously from [Lowe’s] personal vendetta [against Farage].”
A senior Conservative strategist meanwhile said that Reform had made one of the most basic errors in politics by providing a running commentary on the polls when the party was out in front.
Over the last year, Farage and his colleagues have repeatedly trumpeted polls which were good for them, attacked polling firms showing them with a smaller advantage, and made much of Reform’s unbroken lead between April 2025 and July of this year.
The Tory strategist said the aim of the commentary was to create the impression of unstoppable momentum in order to make the Conservatives look “obsolete”.
However, they said this was now backfiring against them now Reform had dipped in the poll.
Warning signs for Labour
There were potential early warning signs for Labour as it saw its lead over the Tories on the cost of living narrow to six points and on the economy to three points amid rising inflation and ahead of the Budget.
More than half of voters (51 per cent) are now worried about paying for everyday essentials, compared to 45 per cent who are not.
Reform also widened its lead over Labour on immigration to eight points after so-called “mega-dinghies” used by migrants to cross the Channel, as well as small boats now coming to the UK on new routes, reignited concerns about the asylum crisis despite crossings falling significantly.
On personal ratings Burnham (+3 net satisfaction) and Tory leader Kemi Badenoch (+2) remained significantly more popular than Farage (-23), who has suffered alongside his party following a summer of donations scandals and a pyrrhic victory over Count Binface in a by-election he triggered in his Clacton seat.
Both the Prime Minister and Chancellor John Healey also remain significantly more popular than their predecessors Sir Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves going into next month’s crunch Budget, in another sign that a change at the top has restored Labour’s fortunes.
:: BMG surveyed a representative sample of 1,515 GB adults between 23 and 24 September. BMG are members of the British Polling Council and abide by its rules.























