The UK’s air defences are not ready for a Putin attack

Experience of Britain under aerial bombardment lies at the limits of living memory, with few left alive today able to remember the Second World War.

Now, in the biggest conflict Europe has seen since 1945, the UK faces a different kind of threat: from Russia, the country that has brought war back to the continent. As a result, the UK has a pressing need for more weapons to fend off the danger of attack from the skies.

Since Vladimir Putin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Russian warplanes have flown close to UK airspace a number of times. Royal Air Force fighters have been deployed to intercept and monitor them.

The councils where parents could get potty training support

Mother training her toddler to use the potty

More parents in England are set to receive extra support with toilet training their children before they start primary school.

Here’s what we know.

Potty pilot progress

A pilot, trialled by City of York Council, saw potty-training advice sent to 1,700 families alongside school place offer letters in April, followed by a reduction in the number of children starting reception without being toilet trained compared to last year.

File photo dated 15/07/14 of a generic stock photo of school girls walking to school. Fewer than half of parents think children should know how to use books correctly before starting primary school, a survey has suggested. Issue date: Thursday January 30, 2025. PA Photo. Only three in four (76%) parents think children should be toilet trained before joining Reception, according to a poll for early years charity Kindred2. See PA story EDUCATION EarlyYears. Photo credit should read: Ian West/PA Wire
The reception class at Manor Park School and Nursery in Knutsford, Cheshire, listen to a story read by teacher Mrs Power, at the start of a four week national lockdown for England. PA Photo. Picture date: Thursday November 5, 2020. See PA story HEALTH Coronavirus. Photo credit should read: Martin Rickett/PA Wire

A survey of teachers by charity Kindred Squared, which funded the pilot, suggested around one in four children who started reception in 2025 were not toilet trained.

More about the scheme

Parent workshops and teacher training sessions were arranged to help with toilet training four-year-olds.

Community collaboration

There has been a 42 per cent decrease in the proportion of children starting school not toilet trained in York, the results from the pilot suggest.

‘Teachers losing a day a week’

Felicity Gillespie, chief executive of Kindred Squared, said parents and carers have been calling for “clear, concise, targeted advice” and that on average, teachers have been “losing the equivalent of a day a week of teaching time helping children who are not able to go to the toilet themselves”.

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More classroom time

I think the biggest impact for us has been that we don’t have to spend so much time changing children now.

Jo Mould, a teacher at Robert Wilkinson Primary Academy, one of 55 schools which took part in the pilot, said it allowed teachers to spend more time in the classroom.

Young daughter wearing school uniform and mother entering home through front door, returning from school pickup

Safeguarding measures mean it takes two members of staff to change a child’s nappy, which takes time away from other children.

Making a ‘real difference’

Toilet training can be one of the biggest milestones in a child’s early years, so it’s encouraging to see this pilot helping more children develop the confidence and independence they need before starting school. When children are supported to take these important steps early, it can make a real difference to how they settle in, make friends and start learning.

Paul Waugh, minister for early education
School child with educational special needs working in class with help from teaching assistant

More to follow?

Some 20 councils in England are now looking at following the York pilot, including:

Mortgage rates hit three-year high – here’s what to do

Orange color home house cottage residence icon with increasing up rising zigzag curved blue arrow graph over white vector background for mortgage, ownership, sale, buy sell rent real estate boom price increase posters, investment return backdrops, banners with copy space.

Mortgage rates are at their highest since 2023, with just nine sub-5 per cent fixed deals available.

The average two-year rate has reached 5.98 per cent and the five-year rate 6 per cent – their highest levels since December and September 2023, respectively.

Iran war stokes inflation fears

The past month has seen major banks hike prices several times, as financial traders have begun to expect that inflation will stay higher for longer as a result of the US-Iran war. Barclays increased fixed rates on four occasions, while HSBC, Lloyds Bank, Nationwide, NatWest, Santander and TSB each made three rounds of increases.

Pedestrians pass a HSBC Holdings Plc bank branch in Chelmsford, U.K., on Friday, Feb. 11, 2022. European banks have largely thrived in the pandemic thanks to a flurry of dealmaking and unprecedented taxpayer support for the economy. Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg via Getty Images

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Vanishing act for fixed deals

1,494

There were 1,494 sub-5 per cent fixed deals at the start of September.

However, 1,385 of these have since vanished, according to Moneyfacts.

  • Rachel Springall, finance expert at Moneyfactscompare.co.uk, said volatility has had a “brutal” impact on fixed mortgage rates.
  • Nick Mendes, of John Charcol brokers, added that further increases “are likely while markets stay this unsettled”.

Huge impact on households

Person working at a home desk checking a receipt while entering amounts on financial paperwork with a calculator. Household finance organization, annual filing documents, tax preparation materials and general personal budgeting content.
  • Borrowers coming off fixed rates face a significant jump in payments.
  • On a £250,000 mortgage with a 30-year repayment term, the difference between a five and six per cent rate is about £150 a month.

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If you have a mortgage expiring later this year…

  • Compare a wide range of lenders and banks – don’t settle for the one you’re currently with.
  • Consider speaking to a broker to help you, as these are professionals who often have access to deals you can’t find online directly.
  • Most lenders will let you lock in a rate several months before yours ends, help you avoid going on to a standard variable rate.

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What to do if you’re buying…

Nationwide’s rate reservation tool lets you book a rate for up to 90 days.

Aaron Strutt, of Trinity Financial, said Nationwide’s rate reservation tool offers an exception to the general rule that if you’re buying a home, you need the seller to accept your offer before you can submit a full mortgage application.

Experts say it is still worth considering other lenders, though, to find your best fit.

New James Bond novel in the works from historian Dan Jones

Daniel Craig, actor, FILE - This undated publicity file photo released by Sony Pictures shows actor Daniel Craig, who makes his debut as James Bond in "Casino Royale," (2006), a tale of the super-spy's early escapades trying to foil a terrorist gang. Craig can seriously act, bringing a welcome darkness to the character as well as being sexy, masculine and formidable in all the necessary ways. (AP Photo/Sony Pictures, Jay Maidment, File)

Historian Dan Jones is set to pen a new James Bond novella as part of celebrations for the National Year of Reading.

The story was announced on 5 October, also known as James Bond Day as it was the date the first 007 film, Dr No, which premiered in 1962.

Out this year

Where and when?

The new story will see Bond in Sri Lanka, in 1954 as the British are leaving.

Galle is a highlight of the south coast (Photo: RooM RF/Getty Images)
Actor Sean Connery on set of the movie James Bond: Never Say Never Again, directed by Irvin Kershner. (Photo by Bob Penn/Sygma/Sygma via Getty Images)

Paying homage

The story, titled will pay homage to Ian Fleming’s fourth Bond novel, , 70 years after it was first published.

Available soon

It will be published as a special edition via ianflemingshop.com on 3 December.

LONDON, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 20: A generic view at the Burlington Arcade 007 installation launch, in partnership with EON Productions and Universal Pictures International on September 20, 2021 in London, England. (Photo by David M. Benett/Dave Benett/Getty Images for Burlington Arcade)

‘A pivotal moment in history’

Being asked to write a   story is one of the greatest honours in contemporary fiction. I’m very excited to take  to Ceylon at such a pivotal moment in world history – and thrilled that Ian Fleming Publications are trusting me to pay tribute to Diamonds Are Forever, which is one of the great books in the  canon.

Dan Jones, historian and author
In this photo illustration created in London on February 23, 2025 the Amazon.co.uk app displays "The Home Of Bond" on a phone screen next to an photograph displayed on a laptop screen. James Bond in the hands of an American company: shock horror! Amazon's takeover of Britain's iconic Bond franchise has Her Majesty's subjects worried, with some wondering whether 007 still has a future. After months of wrangling between the films' producers and Amazon MGM studio, extensively reported in the British press, the final blow fell on Thursday, February 23: the American giant will now preside over the destiny of the world's best-known spy. (Photo by Justin TALLIS / AFP) (Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP via Getty Images)

Fleming’s character lives on

Fleming wrote 12 Bond novels and two short-story collections between 1953 and his death in 1964. Numerous continuation authors have since added to the canon, most recently Charlie Higson with , released in September.

On the silver screen, there has been a long-running search for the next actor to play Bond since Daniel Craig’s departure.

Novelist Ian Fleming, creator of James Bond 007, sits at his typewriter while in Jamaica for the filming of the movie Dr. No. (Photo by ?? Bradley Smith/CORBIS/Corbis via Getty Images)

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The five best history books of all time, according to Dan Jones

Dan Jones has spent much of his career bringing some of history’s most colourful characters and turbulent periods back to life. So, when Jones picks up a history book for pleasure, it has a high bar to clear.

The BBC has appointed Rachel Jupp, its former director of documentaries and long-form journalism, as the corporation’s new director of news and current affairs.

It comes nearly a year after the previous chief, Deborah Turness, resigned following the fallout over how BBC edited a speech by Donald Trump.

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Trump-Panorama controversy

The controversy that led to Turness’ resignation centred on a documentary about Trump’s role in the 6 January Capitol riot in 2021.

The documentary was accused of misleading viewers by splicing together parts of his speech delivered at different points. The row prompted a wider crisis over the BBC’s editorial standards.

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Jupp, whose new role starts this month, said she was “honoured” to “lead BBC News”. BBC director-general Matt Brittin described Jupp her as “an outstanding editorial leader”.

For use in UK, Ireland or Benelux countries only Undated BBC handout photo of Rachel Jupp who has ben appointed as the new director of news and current affairs for the BBC. Jupp, who is currently director of BBC News documentaries and longform journalism, will begin her new role next month. Issue date: Monday October 5, 2026. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: BBC/PA Wire NOTE TO EDITORS: Not for use more than 21 days after issue. You may use this picture without charge only for the purpose of publicising or reporting on current BBC programming, personnel or other BBC output or activity within 21 days of issue. Any use after that time MUST be cleared through BBC Picture Publicity. Please credit the image to the BBC and any named photographer or independent programme maker, as described in the caption.

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Stepping in as redundancies loom

Following the resignations of BBC Director General Tim Davie and CEO of news Deborah Turness and US President Donald Trump's threat of a lawsuit due to the editing of a BBC Panorama film about the US insurrection on the US Capitol, are BBC staff leaving Broadcasting House, on 10th November 2025, in London, England. (Photo by Richard Baker / In Pictures via Getty Images)

Sweeping cuts

Jupp will have responsibility for a team of 4,500 people and will be paid a salary of £400,000.

Sweeping cuts

It comes as the BBC continues to make sweeping jobs cuts.

NUJ members at the BBC on the picket line at Broadcasting House during strike action over changes to local radio programming (photo - PA)
News 24 gallery screens during an interview with DG Mark Thompson as the licence fee was announced (Photo by Jeff Overs/BBC News & Current Affairs via Getty Images)

Bid to save £500m

Between 1,800 and 2,000 jobs are set to be axed in an attempt to save £500m over two years amid “significant financial pressures”.

These encounters have so far passed off without incident. They are a chance for Russia to score some propaganda points – always an important part of Putin’s way of fighting wars. The Russian air force also wants to test its main rivals’ readiness in case of a conflict.

In wartime, however, it would be different. “If there were hostilities you wouldn’t expect aircraft to come particularly close to the UK because they’d be launching their missiles at very, very long ranges,” said Douglas Barrie, a senior fellow for military aerospace at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London.

Parts of Russia’s aerial fleet – Su-35S aircraft and some Su-30SM2s – have been modified specifically with that in mind: their medium-range missiles replaced with longer-range ones, according to a paper published by the Rusi think-tank in January. The paper’s author, Justin Bronk, concluded that this had “significantly contributed to increasing the threat” they could pose to Nato air operations.

In short, a future conflict would be very different to any we have experienced, and the aerial threats exponentially larger.

There is a sense that both Russia and Nato are still relearning their roles as foes. The end of the Cold War, and the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, led to a period of peace impossible to imagine during the East vs West confrontation that divided Europe in the second half of the last century.

Russian T-90M tanks travel through central Moscow during a rehearsal for the Victory Day parade where Russia will celebrate the 80th anniversary of the 1945 defeat of Nazi Germany, on May 3, 2025. Russia will mark "Victory Day" on May 9 with a huge military parade of troops and hardware on Red Square, presided over by President Vladimir Putin. (Photo by Alexander NEMENOV / AFP) (Photo by ALEXANDER NEMENOV/AFP via Getty Images)

When the Cold War ended, fighting forces were scaled back on both sides. Russia, stung by the loss of the Soviet empire and the superpower status that went with it, did not have the money for a large military. Western Europe, happy to have avoided the end of the world, focused its resources elsewhere. However, in the Putin era, that process has gone into reverse.

The Russian air force may have been reduced in size at the end of Cold War, but it was never mothballed. As a journalist in Chechnya in 1995, I ran for my life from a Russian air strike aimed at separatist fighters. Civilians in rebel-held areas of Syria later came to know well the fear inspired by Russian warplanes.

Over the last few years, despite the huge losses Russia has suffered in Ukraine, its air force has, if anything, become a greater threat. “Russian fighter pilots have improved their effectiveness in air-to-air engagements during the war,” the Rusi paper also warned.

And with the Russian budget for 2027 focused on providing even more fuel for the Kremlin’s war machine, the air force won’t want for resources.

At the same time, a future conflict in the skies between Nato and Russia wouldn’t just be about planes.

Ukraine’s ability to launch drones from increasing distances to strike targets far from the front lines has been a major factor in the way that conflict has evolved. Russia is utilising similar weapons to strike Ukrainian cities, including its latest generation of jet-powered Geran drones.

(FILES) This photograph shows fire and smoke rising from a warehouse destroyed during massive Russian ballistic missile and drone strikes on the outskirts of Kyiv early on August 5, 2026, amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine. In the last nine months, there have been three times as many Russian strikes on civilian warehouses in the Kyiv region than in the first four months of the full-scale invasion from February 2022. Two-thirds of them have happened since the start of August 2026, according to AFP analysis of data from the ACLED conflict monitor up to September 18. (Photo by Roman PILIPEY / AFP via Getty Images)

That war has lessons for the UK, although as Barrie points out, the drones that Russia is using in Ukraine don’t have the range to reach the UK’s shores. However, he said there may be other ways that Moscow looks “at launching similar classes of weapons”.

Recent reports have suggested this could include drones being launched from Russian merchant vessels in waters that put them in range of targets in countries like the UK, which have offered political and military support to Ukraine.

One aspect of UK defences in particular needs to be improved, according to Barrie. “The real area of weakness is in terms of ground-based air defence, so surface-to-air missiles. We really don’t have nearly enough of those, and we don’t have enough of those to cover the range of threats that the Russians could now deploy against us,” he said.

If it did come to war with Russia, the UK would be fighting alongside other Nato allies – but air defences are in short supply everywhere, particularly since the US launched its war against Iran earlier this year, which has depleted available stockpiles. “If you thought it was going to be 36 months before you got your missiles, it’s now going to be five years,” said Barrie.

A Ministry of Defence spokesperson told The i Paper that the UK would always defend itself against any threat. “The Defence Investment Plan has made air and missile defence a priority,” they said, “with significant investment to strengthen the UK’s ground-based capabilities, including doubling the number of Sky Sabre air defence missile systems and investing in long-range systems.”  

However, the threats over European skies are only growing, and our enemies have a lot more recent experience in how to conduct and defend that type of warfare. Russia’s assault on Ukraine has also reminded us that war often brings about rapid technological innovation, in this case a growing aerial threat.

Absent any prospect of a drop in tensions between Putin and the West, the wider danger will continue to grow – and the UK’s defences will need to change and improve to meet that unpredictable threat. As a nation, we cannot risk not being ready.

Original source The UK’s air defences are not ready for a Putin attack

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