Trump is isolated as his empire crumbles around him

There is something that any parent of a toddler – in fact, anyone who’s had to keep one out of trouble for a couple of hours – knows: If a tantrum is incoming, distraction is your friend. There is no reasoning with a small child, and woe betide anyone who attempts to tackle a furious pre-schooler head-on. Diverting their attention with something bright and shiny is very much the way forward. 

This appears to be the exact approach that some of Donald Trump’s closest aides are taking to managing the ego of the most powerful man in the world in the final days before US midterm elections that will decide the shape of the remaining two years of his presidency. 

The reality for the President is a miserable one: Trump’s party is almost certain to lose control of the House of Representatives, meaning Democrats will be in charge of crucial committees that can launch investigations into his administration. 

How all over 16s could need ID to use social media

Ofcom has set out its recommendations for the most effective ways to identify which of the UK’s millions of social media users are aged over 16.

Hands holding smartphones with speech bubbles

What you need to know

(FILES) This photograph taken on April 19, 2024 shows a man holding a smartphone displaying the logo of Chinese social media platform TikTok in an office in Paris. A high-profile Japanese anime voice actor has taken TikTok to court over videos he says feature an artificial intelligence clone of his "lustrous" baritone, with a verdict due on September 30, 2026. (Photo by Antonin UTZ / AFP via Getty Images)

Under the UK’s social media ban – which comes into force in March next year – under 16s will be prevented from accessing 10 of the biggest platforms, including Instagram and TikTok.

Many adults are also likely to have to confirm that they are not under-age by using one of the proposed measures,

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Ofcom’s recommendation

Age verification below 18 is difficult, because 16 and 17 year olds don’t have credit cards or full driving licences, and may not have passports.

Close up of young college students hands holding mobile phones. Teenagers addicted to smartphones and technology. Group of friends sharing content on social media. Technology concept.
EMBARGOED TO 0001 THURSDAY AUGUST 4 File photo dated 03/01/18 of social media apps, including Facebook, Instagram, YouTube and WhatsApp, displayed on a mobile phone screen. Almost six million households are struggling to afford essential communication services such as their mobile phone, broadband and landline as the cost-of-living crisis worsens, a consumer group has warned. Issue date: Thursday August 4, 2022. PA Photo. Which? has called on the Government to cut VAT on household telecoms bills on the back of Ofcom data showing that an estimated 5.7 million households experienced problems such as having to reduce spending on other essentials, cancelling or changing their service or missing payments in the month of April. See PA story CONSUMER Telecoms. Photo credit should read: Yui Mok/PA Wire

To address that challenge, Ofcom has recommended four methods that it says would be “highly effective” at gauging people’s ages, in addition to traditional forms of ID.

The four methods

  • Photo ID matching, where relevant information on a photo ID is checked against a live image.
  • Banking-based checks – using the information on record regarding a user’s age.
  • Face age estimation technology, which Ofcom argues has recently improved.
  • Digital ID services, which enable people to digitally prove who they are or provide information about themselves, such as their age.

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"Penrith, Australia - February 25, 2011: 100g Toblerone chocolate bar (2155kj) containing honey and almond nougat, cristpy rice and chocolate, made in Switzerland for Kraft Foods. Packaging at rear with pieces of the chocolate bar in focus in the foreground. Photographed in studio on white background."

Why Toblerone owner is suing vegan chocolate brand

The owner of Toblerone is taking legal action against a small British vegan chocolate brand which it claims has been copying the Swiss chocolate bar’s iconic shape.

What you need to know

  • Mondelēz has filed papers at the high court accusing Catherine’s Original’s of “passing off” and trademark infringement with its O’bar.
  • The O’bar is a length of chocolate divided into segments each with a rounded semi-oval hump.
Catherine's Originals O'Bar https://www.amazon.co.uk/Catherines-Originals-Chocolate-neycomb-Almonds/dp/B0DV8Z9WZ7

Catherine’s Originals, founded by Catherine Dodd in 2021, makes its chocolate in Sussex and sells them via markets and online.

  • Mondelēz International said: “The iconic Toblerone shape is one of the most recognised and distinctive product designs in the UK and across the world, and has been a hallmark of the brand since 1929.
  • “We have a responsibility to protect our trademarks and intellectual property, which we take seriously.”
  • The legal battle comes after Poundland was forced to delay the launch of its Twin Peaks bar in 2017 after a legal warning from Mondelēz.

What O’bar founder has said

We stand firmly behind the product and identity we’ve created. We strongly disagree with the claim concerning O’bar and are working with our legal team to defend our position. Honestly, it’s fairly frightening for a small business we’ve put so much care and hard work into building.

catherine dodd
Catherine's Originals O'Bar https://www.amazon.co.uk/Catherines-Originals-Chocolate-neycomb-Almonds/dp/B0DV8Z9WZ7
TENBY, WALES - AUGUST 27: Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey plays a game of table tennis on a visit to Kiln Park Holiday Centre to highlight the Great British Summer Savings (GBSS) campaign on August 27, 2026 in Tenby, Wales. The GBSS scheme has run over the summer period and temporarily cut VAT from 20% to 5% on family-friendly activities and meals out. It ends on September 1, following the August bank holiday weekend. (Photo by Matthew Horwood/Getty Images)

The tax rises Healey didn’t tell you about

In John Healey’s Budget he promised to make Britain “more resilient” to global shocks and pledged to give families a £100m payment to help with energy costs, and offer a tax break for low income pensioners.

But the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has warned living standards will be challenged by higher energy costs and a ballooning tax burden. Here are all the hidden tax rises in Wednesday’s Budget.

Energy bills

This is a generic photo of a woman holding a cup of tea and looking at a smart meter. See PA Feature FINANCE EnergyBills. WARNING: This picture must only be used to accompany PA Feature FINANCE EnergyBills. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Alamy/PA NOTE TO EDITORS: This picture must only be used to accompany PA Feature FINANCE EnergyBills

The Chancellor announced a series of pledges to curb rising energy costs, promising the beginning of “radical reform”.

This includes a £100 payment towards energy costs for up to 20 million households in council tax bands A to D.

LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 28: Chancellor John Healey leaves 11 Downing Street to present the Autumn Budget to Parliament on October 28, 2026 in London, England. This is Chancellor John Healey's the first Budget under Prime Minister Andy Burnham following his entry into office in July. He faces a challenging economic landscape shaped by high government borrowing costs and global market pressures tied to the conflict in the Middle East. (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)
File photo dated 28/02/15 of a lit ring on a gas hob, as E.On Next, Good Energy and Octopus Energy have paid ?8 million over compensation failures after lengthy delays in producing final bills to more than 100,000 customers when they switched suppliers, regulator Ofgem said. PA Photo. Issue date: Wednesday May 17, 2023. The energy watchdog said the three suppliers either missed or delayed compensation payouts that were due when they did not provide a final bill within six weeks, as required when a customer switches to another provider. See PA story CITY Energy. Photo credit should read: Yui Mok/PA Wire

However, these fixed daily charges on gas bills will be shifted onto the price consumers pay for each unit of energy.

Energy bills

The Treasury has claimed that 60 per cent of households will save an average of £45 a year.

But the savings will only come after the big projected rise to energy bills in January. While lower users will gain the most, higher users – which includes large, low-income families – are likely to pay more than they currently do.

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High tax bands for millions

  • Millions face being dragged into paying more income tax after the thresholds remained frozen.
  • The IFS warned it was a Budget with “very little that will move the dial on growth”.

The effect, known as fiscal drag, occurs when tax thresholds remain frozen while wages rise – meaning people pay more tax as a greater proportion of their income becomes taxable or they are pushed into higher tax bands.

Middle-income pensioners 

  • Pensioners with income less than the full amount of the new state pension will not have to pay income tax, Healey announced.
  • However, middle and higher income pensioners face a squeeze due to related tax rules.
  • Healey said that to avoid a “cliff edge” once a pension income exceeds the allowance, the Government would “gradually” reduce the allowance as income increases.

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Middle-income pensioners 

  • The Government said this means those earning between £13,037 and £13,319 will receive “some Pension Tax Allowance and pay less income tax than you otherwise would”.
  • But Sir Steve Webb, former pensions minister, said this means around 200,000 low-income pensioners will face a marginal income tax rate of 53 per cent.
  • For each extra pound above the cut-off, they pay 20p in income tax and lose 33p in the tax rebate that those on lower incomes get, he said.

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26/10/2026. London, United Kingdom. The Budget 2026 cover, photographed in the No 11 office in Downing Street. Picture by Kirsty O'Connor / Treasury

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Higher housing costs 

The Chancellor announced that the surcharge on bank profits would be temporarily doubled from 3 to 6 per cent and that landlords face a 4 per cent tax on rental profits and property income.

But critics are warning higher costs will be passed onto renters and onto people securing mortgages.

Chancellor of the Exchequer, John Healey during a visit to Shell UK's St Fergus Gas Terminal in Peterhead, Aberdeenshire, following the announcement of the UK Government's long-awaited decision on the future of the Jackdaw gas field, a new gas drilling operation off the coast of Aberdeen. The North Sea project is one of two - alongside the Rosebank oil field - which the Labour Government must decide the fate of, after their approval by the previous Conservative administration was halted because of a legal challenge last year. Picture date: Wednesday October 21, 2026. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Paul Reid/Press Association

John  denies postponing difficult welfare system decisions

John Healey has denied postponing difficult decisions on the welfare system, insisting the Government is making changes “now”.

The Chancellor’s Budget has faced criticism for not dealing with the ballooning cost of welfare, including from Kemi Badenoch, who said the country is “drowning in an out-of-control welfare system”.

What you need to know

  • The influential Institute for Fiscal Studies think-tank warned the Budget delayed tough decisions.
  • Speaking to , Healey said ministers have already brought in a range of measures to cut the cost.
  • The Chancellor told BBC Radio 4’s that the Government “can never remove completely the cost of living pressures that people feel”.

Two years ago we started putting back in place face-to-face assessments. We’ve changed terms of universal credit, so people don’t have to brand themselves as too sick to work. So, those are changes we’re making now. But in the long run, as I’ve argued, and the Prime Minister has said, too, we have to bring the cost of  down.

healey told gb news
28/10/2026. London, United Kingdom. Prime Minister Andy Burnham and Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey call with President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 10 Downing Street. Picture by Lauren Hurley / No 10 Downing Street

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How much benefit payments will rise by

Benefit claimants will see their payments boosted next year in a move that could cost the Government up to £5.5bn, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS).

Some 10 million Britons claiming working-age benefits are set to see a rise of at least 3.5 per cent from next spring, with ministers expected to increase rates in line with inflation.

Emergency services work at the scene of a collision between two trains in Urda, Spain, on Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2026. (AP Photo/Manu Fernandez)

What to know as ‘error’ blamed for Spain train crash

At least 68 people died and dozens more were injured following a “rear-end collision” between two trains in central Spain.

What happened?

The crash occurred between the towns of Los Yébenes and Urda, in the Toledo province, shortly before 9am local time (8am UK time) on Wednesday.

  • A train operated by the state-owned national rail company Renfe carrying 397 passengers, rammed into the back of a stationary train operated by private firm Iryo, carrying 147 people.
  • The crash caused at least two carriages to fall down an embankment.
  • Former Spanish government minister, Fátima Báñez, was among those killed in the incident, local authorities confirmed.
  • Three days of national mourning have now been declared to honour the victims.

What caused the crash?

Spain’s Transport minister Óscar Puente said a computer failure led to the initial halt of six moving trains.

TOPSHOT - Civil Guards stand amongst the wreckage of train collision between a high speed Renfe AVE train and an Iryo train around 150kms south of Madrid between Urda and Los Yebenes in the province of Toledo, on October 28, 2026. (Photo by Javier SORIANO / AFP via Getty Images)
Death toll rises to 46 after trains collide near Toledo, Spain - Okdiario https://x.com/BNODesk/status/2115375865987059713 grab taken without permission

Puente also suggested that the accident may have been caused by human error because one of the trains had been told to resume its journey. He said it was the control centre, through its operators, that made the decision to resume traffic which he said was “inexplicable”.

The story in pictures

TOPSHOT - Emergency services are seen at the site of a train collision between a high speed Renfe AVE train and Iryo train around 150kms south of Madrid between Urda and Los Yebenes in the province of Toledo, on October 28, 2026. (Photo by JAVIER SORIANO / AFP via Getty Images)
LOS YEBENES, SPAIN - OCTOBER 28: Emergency workers gather near the scene of a train crash on October 28, 2026 near Los Y??benes, Toledo, Spain. At least 64 people are reported to have been killed after a high-speed Renfe train hit an Iryo train near the kilometer marker 118, between the towns of Mora and Orgaz and Urda, in Toledo province. (Photo by Florencia Tan Jun/Getty Images)
Passengers rescued from one of the trains involved in a collision arrive in Urda, Spain, Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2026. (AP Photo/Andrea Comas)

What has Spain’s PM said?

The whole of Spain is grieving. Lives have been shattered, families have been torn apart, the pain is immense.

Pedro Sanchez
LOS YEBENES, SPAIN - OCTOBER 28: Pedro Sanchez, the Prime Minister of Spain speaks to the media, near the scene of a train crash on October 28, 2026 near Los Y??benes, Toledo, Spain. At least 64 people are reported to have been killed after a high-speed Renfe train hit an Iryo train near the kilometer marker 118, between the towns of Mora and Orgaz and Urda, in Toledo province. (Photo by Florencia Tan Jun/Getty Images)

go deeper on this topic

Why train crashes are more common in Spain

Earlier this year, a collision between two high-speed trains in southern Spain killed 39 people. But what does the data on Spain’s train crashes say, and which are the safest European railways?

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Hayden Panettiere’s death ruled accidental

FILE - Hayden Panettiere arrives at the premiere of "Blonde," on Sept. 13, 2022, at TCL Chinese Theatre in Los Angeles. (Photo by Jordan Strauss/Invision/AP, File)

Police have closed the investigation into Hayden Panettiere’s death after a post-mortem found .

The actress died in August after being found unresponsive in an apartment in the South Carolina city of Greenville.

No signs of foul play

Panettiere’s on-and-off boyfriend Brian Hickerson and his brother Zach were in the property at the time. Paramedics performed CPR and other resuscitation efforts for 40 minutes before declaring her dead.

Officers initially said there did not appear to be any signs of foul play – an assessment backed up by last month’s post-mortem.

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Cause of death revealed

The coroner ruled Panettiere died from the toxic effects of an accidental overdose of several drugs, including the synthetic opioid fentanyl.

FILE - AUGUST 16: Actress Hayden Panettiere, known for her roles in "Heroes," "Remember the Titans" and "Nashville," has died. She was 36 years old. NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MARCH 06: Hayden Panettiere attends the world premiere of Paramount's "Scream VI" at AMC Lincoln Square Theater on March 06, 2023 in New York City. (Photo by Dimitrios Kambouris/Getty Images)
FILE - AUGUST 16: Actress Hayden Panettiere, known for her roles in "Heroes," "Remember the Titans" and "Nashville," has died. She was 36 years old. NEW YORK, NY - JANUARY 05: Hayden Panettiere attends Build Presents Charles Esten & Hayden Panettiere Discussing "Nashville" at AOL HQ on January 5, 2017 in New York City. (Photo by Jamie McCarthy/Getty Images)

The other drugs found in her system were anti-anxiety medicine alprazolam, muscle relaxer methocarbamol, and quetiapine – which can be used to treat depression.

Panettiere had been in rehab a few weeks before death.

LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 28: Chancellor John Healey poses with the red box as he leaves 11 Downing Street to present the Autumn Budget to Parliament on October 28, 2026 in London, England. This is Chancellor John Healey's the first Budget under Prime Minister Andy Burnham following his entry into office in July. He faces a challenging economic landscape shaped by high government borrowing costs and global market pressures tied to the conflict in the Middle East. (Photo by Alishia Abodunde/Getty Images)

A quick guide to this year’s Budget

This is a Budget for the working people.

Chancellor John Healey unveiled the long-anticipated Budget yesterday, the first for Prime Minister Andy Burnham. Healey called it a Budget “for the working people” as he announced details.

So what are the key takeaways?

Cheaper energy

  • This winter, 20 million households in council tax bands A to D will receive a £100 energy payment paid directly into people’s bank accounts – a £2.6bn scheme.
  • Gas standing charges will be removed from next year, and similar reforms will follow for electricity.
  • The Chancellor says he will remove some levies on energy bills.
  • He also extended a VAT cut on electricity to July 2027, cutting £50 off the annual price cap.

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Savings and pensions

  • The tax-free limit on cash ISAs will stay at £20,000, abandoning plans to reduce it to £12,000.
  • “To make the investment more accessible, I will work with the sector to create a new starter ISA to reward first-time investors,” Healey said.
Coins moving from a stack to a piggy bank

A new pension tax allowance will be introduced. “Pensioners with income up to the value of the full new state pension will not pay income tax in this parliament,” Healey said.

Benefits and paternity leave

  • A benefits rule that punished unpaid carers for earning too much is being abolished. Now, if they earn any amount above the threshold set by means-testing (£204 a week), they lose the whole carer’s allowance.
  • This will be replaced, Healey announced.
  • Self-employed dads and same-sex partners will also be eligible for two weeks’ support worth up to £194 a week.

3.9%

The Chancellor announced a rise in the minimum wage by nearly 3.9 per cent, the same rate for workers aged 18 to 20 years old and those aged 21 and over.

The Chancellor promises to reform non-compete clauses in contracts.

  • Healey also said he will extend the fuel duty cut until July 2027.
  • Workers using their car to get to work can be reimbursed a greater amount by their employers tax-free – the higher mileage rate will increase from 25p to 35p per mile.

The threshold for small business rate relief will increase from £12,000 to £18,000 for retail, hospitality and leisure.

Healey will also raise taxes on the gambling industry to pay for the changes. A £10m alcohol duty relief will be provided for around 2,000 small British brewers and cider makers.

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Even worse, there is a mounting chance that Democrats will take control of the Senate, something that was regarded as close to impossible even a year ago, because Republicans could lose seats in heartland states like Texas, Ohio and even Kansas, which hasn’t elected a Democrat to the Senate in 94 years.  

If Trump loses the Senate, he can only appoint judges and senior administration officials with the approval of Democrats – a distant prospect indeed. Having woken up to the threat that the midterms pose to his legacy, the President has been on a frenetic tour of once-safe states, desperately trying to whip up his voter base to turn out for him one last time. 

It’s not clear the efforts are working.

Even in states that Trump won by 10, 20 or even more points just two years ago, he’s giving his trademark rambling speeches to tiny arenas with rows and rows of empty seats.

The President is getting heckled, something that almost never happened a few years ago. Even Trump’s ultra-loyalist crowds are now only laughing at some of his jokes. 

All of that makes for a Trump temper tantrum, and the President notoriously lashes out when his temper is short. Trump’s Department of Justice is threatening to challenge election results the President doesn’t like as illegitimate, and is announcing on an almost daily basis new attempts to prosecute his political enemies, such as former FBI director James Comey.  

When he’s not lashing out, Trump appears to be retreating to a comfort zone of AI slop, of himself as a superhero or a strongman, of his political enemies in ruins. He posts clips of nonsense polls showing his approval rating at 99 per cent or 98 per cent, seemingly not understanding that these relate solely to voters who define themselves as “Maga Republicans”. Of course that group still supports him strongly: his problem is that the group is not as big as it was a few years ago. 

Trump seems to be retreating to his comfort zone – a controlled media bubble of reassuring memes and carefully massaged polls that tell the President what he wants to hear. helps to explain why: Natalie Harp, Trump’s closest aide, has engineered it for him. 

White House aide Natalie Harp walks towards the presidential motorcade ahead of US President Donald Trump departing the White House in Washington, DC, on October 29, 2026. President Trump is travelling to South Carolina for a midterm campaign event. (Photo by SAUL LOEB / AFP via Getty Images)

The newspaper reports that Harp has turned the presidential dining room, just off the Oval Office, into her personal workroom and a presidential TV den, where he can retreat to watch cable news. On top of that, she has filled it with printouts of reassuring articles and memes for him to enjoy or repost.  

She has been joined in that effort by Bill Pulte, whose day job is ostensibly working as the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, from which perch he has tried to pursue Trump’s enemies, including Federal Reserve governors, over alleged mortgage fraud.  

Recently, though, Pulte can more commonly be found generating the AI memes and manipulated images and videos that the President has been posting. Pulte and Harp seem to have set up a boutique operation to keep Trump happy and isolate him from reality. Trump, a president who has long been dismissed by his critics as the toddler-in-chief, is being kept distracted. 

That might work for the next few days, of course, but the clock is ticking down on that approach: the midterms are less than five days away, and barring an even bigger polling error than in any of the past five US elections, they will be disastrous for Trump – and his rage could overspill in any number of directions all at once. 

Much like the efforts of any exhausted parents, the high-level distraction operation deployed by Trump’s top aides is just about working, for the moment. But any minute now, the world’s most childish leader may recognise the electoral reality that is heading his way – and erupt in the most dangerous fashion.

Original source Trump is isolated as his empire crumbles around him

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