Where and when it will finally rain across UK this week

With parks dried to a crisp, wildfires destroying homes and the country in the midst of its hottest summer on record, it is clear the UK is desperate for rain.

All of Wales and nearly three-quarters of England are currently in drought, with some areas of the South not seeing a drop of rain for well over a month. Millions of households are under hosepipe bans and several areas in England are facing water bans or being asked to conserve water to avoid suppliers running dry.

Prime Minister Andy Burnham chaired a Cobra meeting last week to address the extreme conditions, and said “Britain is a tinderbox” due to the heat and drought.

Why average house price plunged by £7,360 in August

Properties listed for sale in an estate agent's window in Woking, UK, on Monday, June 1, 2026. UK house prices fell at the fastest pace for almost a year, according to one of Britain's biggest mortgage lenders, suggesting the surge in borrowing costs triggered by the Iran war is placing a strain on prospective homebuyers. Photographer: Jason Alden/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Average house prices nosedived by more than £7,000 this month- marking the biggest August price fall since 2018, according to new figures.

Property site Rightmove said asking prices fell by 2 per cent, or £7,360 month-on-month.

Rightmove downgrades annual house price projections

While prices usually fall in August, this is a much bigger drop than the 10-year average of 1.3 per cent.

The figures prompted Rightmove to downgrade its annual house price forecast for 2026 from a 2 per cent increase to between 0 and a 2 per cent fall.

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What is influencing the figures?

The average asking price for a home in Britain stood at £364,999 in August – 1 per cent lower than a year ago.

And it’s all down to the supply.

  • The number of available homes for sale is at a 12-year high for this time of year.
  • This, combined with the quiet summer holiday period, has led to lower price expectations from sellers.
  • Colleen Babcock, a property expert at Rightmove, said the larger-than-usual price drop is a sign sellers are pricing much more competitively from the offset.
  • “Buyers have the widest choice of homes for sale at this time of year in more than a decade, so standing out on price for the right reasons is hugely important,” she said.

A regional divide in property prices

But not everywhere is experiencing a dampening in property prices – as usual, there is a regional divide, Rightmove said.

EMBARGOED TO 0001 WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 3 File photo dated 08/06/16 of a couple of women studying the house price signs in an estate agents window, in Kentish Town, London. A "carefully measured" easing of mortgage lending rules could help more first-time buyers into the market without leading to a significant increase in arrears, according to a banking and finance industry body. UK Finance said its analysis suggests that a modest increase in lending, enabled by lower stress rates, could improve access to mortgages - particularly for first-time buyers - without significantly raising arrears. Issue date: Wednesday September 3, 2025. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Yui Mok/PA Wire
BIRMINGHAM, UNITED KINGDOM - OCTOBER 14: An array of To Let and For Sale signs protrude from houses in the Selly Oak area of Birmingham on October 14, 2014 in Birmingham, United Kingdom. The ONS (Office for National Statistics) have released details of it's findings showing the north-south divide in house prices is the biggest in history. Properties in the London area are nearly 3.5 times more expensive than homes in the north-east of England. (Photo by Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)

In the North West of England, average asking prices are up by 1.9 per cent annually, beating out homes in London where prices have sunk by 3.1 per cent on average.

  • The depressed figures follow a “mini bounce” in buyer demand since Andy Burnham became PM.
  • Buying activity, however, remains roughly 10 per cent below 2025 levels due to the changing picture for mortgage rates, geopolitical uncertainty and October’s Budget spooking potential buyers.

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Everything you need to know about Reform’s welfare overhaul

Reform UK is preparing to unveil the biggest shake-up of the welfare system “in a generation”, with plans to abolish personal independence payments (PIP) for working-age adults and save an estimated £50bn a year.

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‘We will not pretend this is painless’

Nearly three million people would see their disability or sickness payments withdrawn or changed under the plans.

The party’s treasury spokesman, Robert Jenrick, set out the proposals in an article for , ahead of a full 50-page policy paper due on Monday. He has acknowledged the human cost directly, writing: “We will not pretend this is painless.”

File photo dated 18/02/26 of Reform UK party leader Nigel Farage (left) and Reform?s Treasury spokesman Robert Jenrick at the LCW Plaisterers' Hall in the City Of London. Reform UK leader Nigel Farage has resigned as MP for Clacton, saying he will fight the forthcoming by-election. Issue date: Tuesday July 07, 2026. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Stefan Rousseau/PA Wire

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What is Reform proposing?

  • Reform would scrap PIP and the health element of universal credit for working-age adults. Both would be replaced with a new “health security allowance”, a single, regularly reviewed payment.
  • Only claimants with “severe, enduring and high-risk” conditions would qualify for that cash support.
  • Everyone else currently receiving disability-related payments would lose their cash entitlement altogether.

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A closer look at the detail

Those who would lose access to payments would instead be supported through council-run disability support accounts.

LONDON, ENGLAND - JUNE 7: An activist holds a placard during a protest over benefits cuts organised by People's Assembly on June 7, 2025 in London, England. Activists as well as some Labour MPs have objected to the government's proposed benefits cuts, including tightened criteria for personal independence payments (Pip) for people with disabilities. (Photo by Alishia Abodunde/Getty Images)
The Government faced backlash for proposing to cut PIP last summer (Photo: Mark Kerrison/In Pictures via Getty Images)

Reform estimates that 2.16 million would keep their present cash entitlement in full, while 2.89 million would see theirs modified or withdrawn.

Child payments impacted

File photo dated 13/03/20 of children leaving a school in Leeds. Reversing the two-child benefit cap would be one of most cost-effective ways of reducing child poverty, The Institute for Fiscal Studies has said ahead of a Budget in which Chancellor Rachel Reeves is widely expected to announce changes to the limit. Issue date: Thursday October 23, 2025. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Danny Lawson/PA Wire
  • The party plans to extend the same approach to children’s benefits, aligning the system for anxiety, depression and ADHD with the adult changes, though only for new claimants.

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Plans modelled on Dutch system

Reform would also place a new obligation on businesses with more than five staff to take out “return to work cover” insurance, which would pay for the cost of an employee’s first two years off sick, rather than the state covering that cost through benefits.

The scheme is modelled on the Dutch system, where Reform argues disability benefit applications fell by 40 per cent after similar reforms were introduced.

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Experts say the world is at a key cross-roads in malaria control and eradication.

Scientists hail malaria breakthrough – what we know

A new compound has been hailed “an exciting step forward” in the fight against malaria – which kills hundreds of thousands of people each year.

Researchers at the University of Dundee, who discovered the compound, say it has the potential to simplify dosing regimens for the treatment and prevention of the illness.

A ‘novel drug-like molecule’

The new compound, called cabamiquine, is described as a “novel drug-like molecule” that can be delivered in a single dose.

GERMANY - 2020/05/23: This photo illustration shows a disposable syringe with hypodermic needle, MALARIA written on a black board behind. (Photo Illustration by Frank Bienewald/LightRocket via Getty Images)
The world should learn the lessons of Covid to fast-track vaccines for deadly diseases like malaria, according to Professor Adrian Hill (Photo: AFP)

An early-stage clinical trial showed that when administered with a commonly used antimalarial drug called pyronaridine, it is both effective and has a favourable safety profile in adults and adolescents.

Larger trials on the horizon

The team said the findings support the development of the combination therapy for larger trials and children.

In 2024, there were an estimated 282 million cases of malaria and 610,000 deaths from the disease worldwide. Figures have been rising in part due to resistance to common malaria medicines.

FILE PHOTO: A doctor tests a child for malaria at the Ithani-Asheri Hospital in Arusha, Tanzania, May 11, 2016. REUTERS/Katy Migiro/File Photo
Recurring malaria is the most common type of malaria outside Sub-Saharan Africa.

An ‘exciting step forward’

This is an exciting step forward for a compound which has great potential to simplify dosing regimens for , a disease which causes hundreds of thousands of deaths every year. We are delighted to see how the compound… is progressing into a potential  medicine.

Dr Beatriz Baragana, a member of the Dundee University team that discovered cabamiquine

Large parts of the UK will soon see a reprieve, with rain forecast later this week. While some areas of Scotland have seen regular showers throughout the summer, for some of the driest areas, this may be their first significant rainfall in months.

Showers, heavy rain and thunderstorms this week

The sweltering temperatures seen last week will decline significantly this week, with Met Office meteorologist Tom Morgan saying: “It’s turning cooler and more changeable through the week ahead for many of us.”

Many might even see “some quite menacing skies” with dark rain clouds later in the week, he said.

Monday and Tuesday won’t see much of a difference for many areas. Morgan said that for many parts Monday “will be a largely dry day”, with “very warm conditions” lingering in some parts.

Monday evening will see “some heavy bursts of rain” across Northern Ireland, Scotland and northeast England. Overnight, the rest of England “will generally turn more showery”.

People shelter from a heavy rain shower at Steve Backshall's Wild Heligan talk at The lost gardens of Heligan, Cornwall. August 4, 2026. Photo released 04/08/2026

While he warned this could be fairly insignificant, he added that “some places will be quite lucky and see several millimeters of rain by the morning”.

Once again, northeast Scotland will have a particularly wet morning on Tuesday, though there is also a chance of showers in the southwest of England and the South Coast.

The real reprieve for the driest areas of the country will come later in the week. By Wednesday, Morgan said it will become “more changeable”, with “a greater chance of some heavy showers and some thunderstorms for many”.

“By Thursday some heavy downpours, potentially quite slow moving, so some longer spells of rain for some,” he added.

It will turn cooler as well, with temperatures set to drop slightly below average for the time of year.

Historic drought

The whole of Wales and 45 million people in England are now in drought. According to the Environment Agency, many areas have received less than 1mm of rainfall this month.

Despite a wetter-than-average winter, July saw just 10 per cent of average seasonal rainfall, while August has only had 6 per cent of expected rainfall to date.

Rivers are drying up, with 15 sites now classified as “exceptionally low” and five reservoirs now classed at the same critical level.

LEEK, UNITED KINGDOM - AUGUST 14: An aerial view of Tittesworth Reservoir in the Staffordshire Moorlands showing low water levels as the heatwave continues on August 14, 2026 in Leek, United Kingdom. The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) has issued heat-health alerts from Tuesday to Friday for nine regions in England, as parts of the country see temperatures in excess of 36C during the fifth heatwave of the season. The National Drought Group has declared that two-thirds of England are now officially in drought, with water use restrictions impacting 27 million people. Last month was the driest July ever recorded in the country since records began in 1836. (Photo by Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)

Professor Hannah Cloke, a hydrologist at the University of Reading, said the UK’s water network “does not build years of storage into the system, so one wet winter does not guarantee healthy reservoir levels through a dry year”.

This winter’s rain did top up supplies, she said, but “an exceptionally dry and hot spring and summer” drained them again just as fast.

In 2025, the government announced plans for nine new reservoirs across Lincolnshire, Cambridgeshire, Oxfordshire, Somerset, Suffolk, Kent, East Sussex and the West Midlands.

But reservoirs take decades to build, and even once they are finished, they won’t solve Britain’s water problem alone, experts warned.

One heatwave a month

The UK has seen a seemingly endless series of heatwaves this summer, with temperatures peaking at 38.1°C at Kew Gardens in London on 13 August – the hottest day of the year so far.

“This current spell of extreme heat is the latest in a remarkable summer. Numerous temperature records have been broken and we’ve seen an exceptionally dry season across much of England and Wales too,” Met Office chief forecaster Neil Armstrong said.

LONDON, ENGLAND ??? AUGUST 14: An aerial view of a funfair is seen before opening on the parched Commonside West in Mitcham, London, on August 14, 2026 in London, England. The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) has issued a heat-health alert from Tuesday to Friday for nine regions in England, as parts of the country are forecast to see temperatures in excess of 36C during the fifth heatwave of the season. The National Drought Group has declared that two-thirds of England is now officially in drought, with water use restrictions impacting 27 million people. Last month was the driest July recorded in England and Wales since records began in 1836. (Photo by Brook Mitchell/Getty Images)

So far, the UK has had at least one heatwave every month since May. The 37 days from 30 June to 5 August counted as the UK’s second-longest heatwave.

The Government announced on Friday it was temporarily banning the sale of disposable barbecues, blaming the single-use grills for a string of wildfires over the summer.

Shortly after the announcement, an emergency alert was sent to millions of phones warning of a “very high risk of wildfires” across England and Wales, telling people not to light disposable barbecues, firepits, garden incinerators or fireworks.

The Prime Minister told BBC : “Britain is a tinderbox right now. Setting a fire in any outdoor setting of any kind is a risk to other people’s homes, it’s a risk to other people’s lives, don’t do it, please don’t do it.”

Original source Where and when it will finally rain across UK this week

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