Why Putin’s shadow fleet now poses greater danger to UK

Russia is using a new technique to hide the location of “shadow fleet” tankers by making vessels carrying oil needed by Moscow to fill its war coffers appear in two places at the same time. 

The Kremlin has long sought to disguise the position of vessels in its ageing oil tanker fleet by interfering with the safety and navigation system used across the globe to identify the position and course of thousands of ships at any one time. 

A new analysis suggests Russia is deepening its manipulation of the Automatic Identification System (AIS) as Moscow increasingly takes direct control of tankers within the shadow fleet, hundreds of which are subject to sanctions, to counter the risk of seizure by Western countries, including the UK. 

Canada Prime Minister Mark Carney delivers a statement on Parliament Hill following a deadly fire at Canadian Forces Base Wainwright in Alberta, in Ottawa on Sunday, Oct. 18, 2026. (Patrick Doyle/The Canadian Press via AP)

What we know about deadly fire at Canadian military base

Four service members were killed and dozens more injured at a fire at a military base in Alberta, Canada, on Saturday.

Prime Minister Mark Carney described it as one of the worst peacetime tragedies for Canada’s military on domestic soil.

What happened?

The service members were participating in military training when a violent grass fire broke out near Canadian Forces Base Wainwright.

Officials identified the dead as Sergeant Morgan Wong, Private Shaun Farrell, Private Aidan Goulding and Private Hayden Lykkemark.

Flags at half mast at Canadian Forces Base Wainwright in Wainwright, Alberta, Canada, on October 18, 2026. Four soldiers were killed and dozens injured in a fire at Canadian Forces Base Wainwright on October 17, one of the worst peacetime tragedies to hit Canada's armed forces on home soil, Prime Minister Mark Carney said on October 18. (Photo by Megan Albu / AFP via Getty Images)

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What caused the fire?

Uncommonly strong winds caused the fire to spread rapidly and shift direction towards the range administrative area… We do not believe this to be a result of any oil and gas infrastructure nor any outside interference.

Major-General Wade Rutland tells the press briefing
Major-General L.W. Rutland, center, speaks as Canada National Defence Minister David McGuinty, left, and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, right, listen during a news conference in Edmonton, Alberta, Sunday, Oct. 18, 2026. (James Maclennan/The Canadian Press via AP)

The aftermath of the blaze

According to Alberta Premier Danielle Smith at a press briefing on Sunday evening, 39 people were in hospital and at least 19 in critical condition.

Firefighers and emergency services close to Canadian Forces Base Wainwright in Wainwright, Alberta, Canada, on October 18, 2026. Four soldiers were killed and dozens injured in a fire at Canadian Forces Base Wainwright on October 17, one of the worst peacetime tragedies to hit Canada's armed forces on home soil, Prime Minister Mark Carney said on October 18. (Photo by Megan Albu / AFP via Getty Images)
Firefighters continue to work on hot spots, the day after a serious incident that resulted in a fire caused deaths and injuries, in Wainwright, Alberta, Canada, October 18, 2026. REUTERS/Jennifer Gauthier

Defence minister David McGuinty said the Royal Canadian Mounted Police were involved in investigating the incident. He said authorities were still working to determine what happened.

Flags at half-staff

“The nation is in mourning for those brave members of our armed forces whom ⁠we have lost,” Carney said on Sunday,

He confirmed that flags would fly at half-staff on federal buildings across the country in honour of those affected by the tragedy.

The Canadian flag flies at haft-mast,, the day after a serious incident that resulted in a fire caused deaths and injuries, at Canadian Forces Base Wainwright, in Wainwright, Alberta, Canada, October 18, 2026. REUTERS/Jennifer Gauthier
Flowers lie at the foot of the Memorial Clock Tower the day after a serious incident that resulted in a fire caused deaths and injuries, in Wainwright, Alberta, Canada, October 18, 2026. REUTERS/Jennifer Gauthier

Dog owners urged to desensitise pets to fireworks now

Handout photo of a dog hiding under a blanket from fireworks. Dog owners should begin de-sensitising their pets to the sound of fireworks now, in preparation for Bonfire Night, a charity has advised. Guide Dogs has launched The National Fireworks Archive, a free training video of fireworks footage filmed by the public to help owners gradually introduce their pets to the associated sounds. Issue date: Monday October 19, 2026. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Alamy/the Press Association NOTE TO EDITORS: This handout photo may only be used in for editorial reporting purposes for the contemporaneous illustration of events, things or the people in the image or facts mentioned in the caption. Reuse of the picture may require further permission from the copyright holder.

People should begin exposing their pets to the sound of fireworks now, in preparation for Bonfire Night, a charity has advised.

Guide Dogs has created a National Fireworks Archive to help.

Combatting anxiety

  • The archive is a free training video of fireworks footage to help owners gradually introduce their pets to the sounds.
  • Almost two thirds (63 per cent ) of the UK’s dogs are affected by fireworks anxiety, according to research by Guide Dogs.
  • However 79 per cent of dog owners say they do not do anything to prepare for Bonfire Night.

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How can you prepare your dog?

A low angle close up of a calm relaxed dacshund relaxing on the sofa at home. He is relaxing and snuggled in with his own fluffy cozy blanket. The dog is looking up towards his owner.

Introduce gradually

Keep sessions short at about two to five minutes, once or twice a day to begin with.

Increase with caution

The volume can be increased only when the dog remains relaxed, with different sounds introduced carefully.

Nelson the dog after being rescued by the RSPCA. // A dog who was suffering with two skull fractures and a catalogue of other severe wounds when he was rescued by the RSPCA is now loving life in a new home following an amazing transformation captured in a heart-warming video. The animal welfare charity was responding to reports that a man had beaten and attempted to strangle a dog in the garden of a property in London when the rescuer came across Nelson who had serious head wounds and other visible injuries. Photo released 30/07/2026
LONDON, ENGLAND - JULY 11: A sniffer dog is seen with a tennis ball in their mouth on day thirteen of The Championships Wimbledon 2026 at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club on July 11, 2026 in London, England. (Photo by James Fearn/Getty Images)

Make a safe space

Create a quiet, cosy den with blankets, toys and familiar scents, with treats hidden inside throughout the day.

What to do on the day

Rear view of a caucasian young woman with blue dyed short hair hugging her mixed breed dog at home
  • Owners should take their dog out for a final toilet break before dark.
  • Then close the curtains, turn on the TV or radio, prepare a food item and let the dog choose where to settle.

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How playing music out loud on buses could result in £100 fine

Local authorities are being encouraged to use new powers to levy fines for nuisance behaviour on buses, including littering, vaping and listening to music without headphones.

What could the rules be?


  • Today the Government launched a nationwide campaign to crack down on antisocial behaviour.
  • It encourages passengers to “share the journey, not the noise” or face fines of up to £1,00.

  • Guidance published on Monday by the Department for Transport sets out how new legislation can be used.

  • Any new rules must be signed off by the Transport Secretary, and will be enforced by specialist transport safety officers.

Antisocial behaviour on public transport has become an increasingly prominent issue, with the Liberal Democrats calling for action against “headphone dodgers” last year.

Ben Plowden, chief executive of the Campaign for Better Transport, said: “If these new powers are properly and visibly enforced, they should help everyone feel safe and comfortable on public transport and enjoy the ride.”

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The novel technique, which appears to be a response to increased Ukrainian attacks on Russia-linked shipping in the Black Sea, is one of several enhanced AIS “spoofing” strategies being deployed by Moscow for vessels which also frequently transit the English Channel and the UK coast.    

How is Russia manipulating AIS? 

Shadow fleet spoofing has previously tended to focus on manipulating a vessel’s AIS signal to make it appear in a different place from where it is. 

Now it seems that Russia is equipping its vessels with technology which interferes with the AIS system to the extent that it makes it look like the same ship is in two places – often hundreds of miles apart – at the same time.  

The technique, first catalogued by Ollie Ballinger, a researcher at University College London, and reported in the , shows tankers in a single fixed or frozen position alongside their true location. 

An analysis showed at least a dozen shadow fleet vessels – all but one of which was sailing under a Russian flag rather than a flag of convenience – have used a version of the technique in recent weeks. 

FILE PHOTO: Rosneft's Russian-flagged crude oil tanker Vladimir Monomakh transits the Bosphorus in Istanbul, Turkey, July 6, 2023. REUTERS/Yoruk Isik/File Photo

The practise appears to be linked to the passage of Russian tankers through the Bosphorus Strait, the entry and exit to the Black Sea where ships could be vulnerable to attack. In one case, the , a Russian-flagged tanker, was showing itself to be both simultaneously in the Bosphorus Strait and a location on the Turkish coast some 800km to the west. 

Moscow and Kyiv have in recent weeks targeted vessels in a tit-for-tat attacks designed to disrupt the flows of commodities – chiefly oil and grain – vital to the Russian and Ukraininan economies.  

Ukraine has claimed to have hit more than 300 Russia-linked vessels in less than three months in the Black Sea and elsewhere as part of its strategy to inflict damage on Moscow’s ability to raise the tax funds needed to sustain the war. 

What other spoofing techniques are being deployed? 

The ability to make a ship appear in two different locations simultaneously is just one of several new tactics being deployed by Russia as it plays a high-stakes game of maritime hide and seek on the high seas. 

The growth in another technique, known as an AIS “handshake”, was revealed by The i Paper last month.  

This tactic involves a shadow fleet tanker sailing close to another vessel, often a fishing trawler, and at a given moment swapping AIS credentials with the second vessel. The tanker will then continue its journey while appearing to trackers as the fishing boat and vice versa.  

After a period of time, the vessels can even cross paths again to swap back identities transmitted on the AIS system, which uses a combination of GPS satellite positioning data and VHF radio broadcasts every few seconds to alert other vessels to the location, speed and course of shipping. 

Other techniques include simply switching off or blocking the AIS beacon and remotely accessing the computer systems of a vessel to interfere with positioning and identification data. 

Experts believe the shift in Russian tactics is at least partly in response to the seizure of nearly a dozen shadow fleet tankers in UK and European Union waters since the beginning of 2026. They include the MV , a shadow fleet tanker seized by Royal Marines in June.  

As well as bringing vessels under the Russian flag, which makes it far harder for Western states to carry out seizures, spoofing is designed to interfere with efforts to track vessels and potentially illicit activity such as ship-to-ship transfers of oil at sea to disguise the origin of shipments on the international market. 

What is the risk to the UK? 

Russian shadow fleet vessels are among the hundreds that transit the English Channel and British and Irish coastal waters on a daily basis. 

The risk of interception means that the number of Russia-linked tankers passing through the Channel has reduced in recent months, while transits around Scotland have correspondingly increased. 

In either case, any interference with the AIS system to disguise or alter the true location of a vessel represents a significant navigation risk. 

The AIS network is designed to provide “visibility” of all shipping within a 40-mile radius, giving ships operating in congested waters like the Channel valuable information on the speed and heading of all surrounding craft. Ships use other tools, including radar, to provide alerts for risks to navigation but experts have warned that inference with satellite-enabled positioning systems like AIS is unacceptable. 

UK forces intercept Russian shadow fleet vessel In the first UK-led operation of its kind, the vessel SMYRTOS was boarded by Royal Marine Commandos and specially trained law enforcement officers from the National Crime Agency, despite Russia?s best efforts to evade sanctions and continue fuelling its barbaric war with Ukraine. The military operation, which lasted 6 hours, was supported with aircraft from the Maritime Air Group (Chinooks, Merlin Mk4 and Wildcat), an RAF P-8 aircraft, as well as HMS SUTHERLAND and HMS LEDBURY Photographer: Royal Navy Copyright: UK MOD ? Crown copyright 2026

In a report earlier this year, the Royal Institute of Navigation said such activity presents “a significant cyber security vulnerability and urgent risks to maritime safety”. 

A second tier of risk comes from concerns that Russia is militarising civilian vessels including fossil fuel tankers, and could even use them to launch hybrid warfare attacks on Britain and its allies. 

Pictures emerged earlier this year of heavy machine guns installed on the decks of Russian liquified natural gas tanker as it transited the Baltic Sea, prompting concerns of a miscalculation in the event of a confrontation with Nato naval vessels routinely patrolling the region. 

Equally alarming is the belief in intelligence circles that Russia has weaponised shadow fleet vessels as launch pads for surveillance drones which have been seen overflying military and defence manufacturing installations in Germany, Denmark and Belgium, and may also have been used to carry out hostile reconnaissance in the UK.  

European security services have been warned that drones armed with explosives could also be launched from civilian vessels as a way of avoiding long-range air defence systems when seeking to launch unattributable attacks.

Original source Why Putin’s shadow fleet now poses greater danger to UK

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