Why Tory fear of Reform could still save the triple lock

Splits have emerged in the Conservative Party over Kemi Badenoch’s pledge to stick with the state pension triple lock.

Sir Andrew Mitchell, a former Cabinet minister, told The i Paper that the triple lock “must be reformed”, but other MPs fear that coming out against the lock will result in the Tories being “outflanked” by Reform UK.

On Tuesday, Prime Minister Andy Burnham used his Labour conference speech to announce that the lock will end in its current form in April 2030 to help pay for free-at-the-point-of-use social care.

FILE PHOTO: Grounded flydubai and Royal Air Maroc Boeing 737 MAX aircraft are seen parked in an aerial photo at Boeing Field in Seattle, Washington, U.S. July 1, 2019. Picture taken July 1, 2019. REUTERS/Lindsey Wasson/File Photo

Israel-bound flight diverted after ‘fight between pilots’


A Flydubai flight to Tel Aviv had to be diverted this morning after a physical fight between the plane’s two pilots, Israeli officials have told local media.

Emergency code triggered

Two hours after taking off from Dubai, the flight signalled an emergency code, according to flight tracking website Flightradar24.

The plane, carrying around 150 people, mostly Israelis, was diverted to land in Saudi Arabia instead of Ben-Guiron airport.

FILE - Israeli tourists leave a FlyDubai plane which departed from Ben-Gurion International Airport in Tel Aviv and landed in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Nov. 8, 2020.(AP Photo/Malak Harb, File)

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Air force responds

Israel's F-15E Strike Eagle fighter plane takes off during an air show at the graduation ceremony of Israeli Air Force pilots at the Hatzerim base in the Negev desert, near the southern city of Beer Sheva, on June 29, 2023. (Photo by JACK GUEZ / AFP) (Photo by JACK GUEZ/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Israel dispatched fighter jets to the incident site
  • Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held urgent consultations

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Flydubai issues statement

A Flydubai spokesperson confirmed the flight “experienced an incident while en route”, and that updates will be issued as further details become available. “Our teams are working closely with the relevant authorities,” it added.

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File photo dated 03/02/22 of an online energy bill. Households are facing heightened winter pressure from energy bills after regulator Ofgem raised its price cap by 4% to a three-year high. The regulator said the price cap will rise by ?60 per year - or ?5 per month - to ?1,723 for the average household using both electricity and gas if this level was sustained for a year. Issue date: Wednesday August 26, 2026. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Jacob King/PA Wire

Energy bills to soar by 16% in January – what it means for your money


The typical household bill is set to jump by £276 in January, according to an industry forecaster, with others warning of a “second energy crisis” on the horizon.

Second price rise predicted in the New Year

Bills are set to go up tomorrow by 4 per cent in line with the energy regulator Ofgem’s price cap increase. Energy consultancy firm, Cornwall Insights, has warned the next price cap increase in January could be even more, bringing a typical annual bill to £1,999.

The ofgem sign. Ofgem regulate the electricity and gas markets in Great Britain. (Photo by In Pictures Ltd./Corbis via Getty Images)

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Government promises ‘breathing space’

Prime Minister Andy Burnham told the this morning that rising energy costs were “very difficult indeed”, and the Government would be looking at “any measure that can give people breathing space”.

LIVERPOOL, UNITED KINGDOM - SEPTEMBER 29, 2026: British Prime Minister Andy Burnham gives a speech on the third day of the Labour Party Conference in Liverpool, United Kingdom on September 29, 2026. (Photo credit should read Wiktor Szymanowicz/Future Publishing via Getty Images)
(FILES) A smart meter indicating how many kWh (kilowatt-hour) of energy has been used already in one day, and how much it has cost in pounds sterling, is pictured in a house in London, on December 13, 2022. The price cap on energy bills for most UK households will rise this winter, regulator Ofgem said on November 23, 2023, further fuelling a cost-of-living crisis that is forecast to worsen. Bills will climb from January on rising wholesale energy prices, which have increased due to key producer Russia's war in Ukraine, Ofgem said in a statement. (Photo by Daniel LEAL / AFP) (Photo by DANIEL LEAL/AFP via Getty Images)

This came as the CEO of energy supplier EDF, Simone Rossi, warned the UK is “walking into a second energy crisis”.

Bleak winter ahead

“I’m doing what I can, removing say VAT off bills. But it is very difficult indeed, and it’s why the Middle East situation needs to command a lot of our attention.”

Andy Burnham
British Prime Minister Andy Burnham delivers his keynote speech at the Labour Party's annual conference in Liverpool, Britain, September 29, 2026. REUTERS/Phil Noble

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What we know as three teenagers die after car plunges into River Wear


Three people have died and a 17-year-old arrested after a car plunged into a river in Sunderland.

BEST QUALITY AVAILABLE Emergency services near Wearmouth Bridge after a car went into the River Wear in Sunderland. Rescue teams were searching the water near Wearmouth Bridge after the car went into the river on Tuesday. Police, ambulance crews, the RNLI and Coastguard were on the scene. A Northumbria Police spokesperson said: ???Shortly before 1.30pm today, we received a report of a car entering the River Wear near Wearmouth Bridge in Sunderland. Picture date: Tuesday September 29, 2026. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Owen Humphreys/PA Wire

Car broke through barrier

BEST QUALITY AVAILABLE Emergency services near Wearmouth Bridge after a car went into the River Wear in Sunderland. Rescue teams were searching the water near Wearmouth Bridge after the car went into the river on Tuesday. Police, ambulance crews, the RNLI and Coastguard were on the scene. A Northumbria Police spokesperson said: ???Shortly before 1.30pm today, we received a report of a car entering the River Wear near Wearmouth Bridge in Sunderland. Picture date: Tuesday September 29, 2026. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Owen Humphreys/PA Wire
  • A black Audi A3 smashed through a roadside barrier at 1.30pm on Tuesday near Wearmouth Bridge
  • Two boys and a girl were killed
  • A 17-year-old who was in the car has been arrested

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Surviving boy arrested

The boy who reached safety has subsequently been arrested in connection with the incident. He remains in police custody at this time. He is currently in hospital with what have been described as non-serious injuries.”

NOrthumbria police spokesperson
UK police officer with his body camera, taser and police radio attached to his stab vest.

Three things to know as economy grows by 0.5%

Young female cafe worker indoors. Conception of business and service.


The economy has grown by slightly more than initially expected, as figures for growth from April to June this year increased from 0.4 per cent to 0.5 per cent by the Office for National Statistics.

Industries performing well

UNITED KINGDOM - JULY 01: A builder carries bricks, using a builder's hod on a house under construction on a Barratt residential development in Horley, Surrey, U.K., on Tuesday, July 1, 2008. Barratt Developments Plc, the U.K.'s worst performing homebuilder this year, plans to cut about 1,000 jobs as it closes and merges divisions. (Photo by Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
  • The boost came from the services sector growing 0.6 per cent.
  • The construction industry also grew by 0.8 per cent.

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Last year revised down

Growth for 2025 as a whole was a little lower than previously estimated.

Liz McKeown, director of economic statistics at the Office for National Statistics, explained that the figures initially given for last year were too high.

Growth for 2025 was revised from 1.3 per cent to 1.2 per cent.

What’s driving growth?

The average UK household’s disposable income increased by 1 per cent, contributing to economic growth overall.

Portrait of smiling latin hispanic middle-aged business woman work on laptop computer in modern office. Indian young businesswoman professional employee using pc, looking dreaming aside. Copy space
Department for Work and Pensions on 5th April 2026 in London, United Kingdom. The Department for Work and Pensions, DWP based at Caxton House is responsible for welfare, pensions and child maintenance policy. As the UK's biggest public service department it administers the State Pension and a range of working age, disability and ill health benefits. (photo by Mike Kemp/In Pictures via Getty Images)

The rise was down to increased income from benefits, which at £5.3bn outstripped the increase in salaries at £2.8bn. The annual increase of state pensions and working age benefits in April contributed to this jump.

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Fat Bear Week has a winner and his story will melt your icy heart

Backpack, the winner of the 2026 Fat Bear Week contest in Alaska, USA.

The final of the competition, which asks viewers of live feeds to name the bear that has put on the most weight in Alaska, came down to a battle of the nepo-bears, and the victor triumphed over adversity.

What is Fat Bear Week?

The competition is run by Katmai National Park and Reserve in Alaska, one of the most chilly and remote (yet deliciously salmon-rich) places on Earth. There were 2,200 brown bears up for the title. Among them was Chunk (or Bear 32, they all have numbers), who weighed in at an estimated 1,200lbs (544kg) to take the 2025 crown.

This handout photo from the National Park Service shows Chunk (Bear 32), the 2025 Fat Bear Week champion, a wild brown bear in Katmai National Park and Preserve in southwest Alaska. Polls opened on September 22 in the only American election that really matters: Fat Bear Week. While the United States might be gearing up for midterm ballots that will decide who runs Washington, hundreds of thousands of people were readying to vote on animals gorging themselves in rural Alaska. (Photo by T. CARMACK / NATIONAL PARK SERVICE / AFP via Getty Images) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - MANDATORY CREDIT "AFP PHOTO / National Park Service / T.Carmack" - HANDOUT - NO MARKETING NO ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS - DISTRIBUTED AS A SERVICE TO CLIENTS
In this photo provided by Katmai Conservancy, a bear munches a salmon in Alaska's Katmai National Park and Preserve in Sept., 2026. (Guy Runco/Katmai Conservancy via AP)

Top two contenders

After a week of voting, it came down to a battle of the sexes. Representing the ladies: Bear 910. Born in 2016, she is the daughter of former Fat Bear Week champion, Beadnose.

This Sept. 9, 2026 photo provided by the National Park Service shows Bear 910 standing along the Brooks River in Katmai National Park and Preserve in Alaska. (C. Loberg/National Park Service via AP)

In the men’s corner: Bear 89. His name is “Backpack”, because in his first year as a cub (pictured), back in 2006, he would often climb onto the back of his mum, also a former winner, when she swam in the river.

A hard start in life

Naturalist Mike Fitz, the creator of Fat Bear Week, said the winning bear “knew hardship at an early age”. He got a bad injury as a cub, which made him vulnerable as he struggled to keep up with his mother.

Backpack won by 103,344 votes to 98,253.

Backpack, the winner of the 2026 Fat Bear Week contest in Alaska, USA.

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Under the current triple lock, the state pension rises each year in line with the highest of earnings, inflation or 2.5 per cent.

The policy has ended up being much more expensive than it was expected to be when it was introduced by Conservative chancellor George Osborne in 2011, with the Office for Budget Responsibility forecasting that by 2030 it will cost £15.5bn a year – three times its original estimate.

If Labour wins the next election, a new “adjusted” lock will see the state pension instead rise each year by at least inflation or 2.5 per cent, while also holding its value relative to earnings over time.

In her immediate reaction to the speech, Badenoch said that Burnham’s plan to change the lock was “falling apart under scrutiny” and that the measure would not generate enough savings for decades, “which means more tax rises are inevitable”.

The Tories doubled down in support of the lock on Wednesday by launching an online petition urging Burnham to “cut welfare, not the triple lock”.

However, splits have opened up in Tory ranks over the position.

Sir Andrew Mitchell, one of the longest-serving Conservative MPs, told The i Paper: “I think in the long run we need to accept that the triple lock must be reformed.

“It’s significantly served the purpose we set for it back in 2010 under David Cameron and it needs to be reined back.”

He joins the former Tory chancellor Jeremy Hunt, who has also called for the lock to be reformed. Hunt said on Tuesday: “We’ve been funding it partly by borrowing from our children and our grandchildren.”

Tom Tugendhat, the shadow Foreign Secretary, has also previously voiced scepticism about the long-term sustainability of the lock.

However, with Reform coming out against Burnham’s plans, some Tory MPs think that in electoral terms they simply cannot afford to abandon the lock.

One Tory MP told The i Paper: “We need to protect the triple lock to support pensioners and cannot be outflanked by Reform.”

Polling for The i Paper revealed that Burnham could lose support from Labour voters at the next election with his pledge to end the triple lock.

By comparison, 59 per cent of Labour voters and 53 per cent of Liberal Democrat voters support the triple lock.

Burnham’s political opponents were unanimous in criticising the move on Wednesday, with Nigel Farage accusing the Prime Minister of “launching an offensive against our elderly” and calling for an early general election.

Lib Dem leader Ed Davey argued any reforms to social care “can’t be funded from the pockets of our poorest pensioners”.

Meanwhile, the Green Party’s Zack Polanski – despite just 43 per cent of his party’s voters supporting the triple lock – criticised the Government for “going after pensioners”, saying it should “tax the rich” instead.

Original source Why Tory fear of Reform could still save the triple lock

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